Ukusukela oko isiqingatha sesibini sonyaka ophelileyo, esichatshazelwa zizinto ezifana nokuncitshiswa kwamandla kunye nobudlelwane obuqinileyo bamazwe ngamazwe, ixabiso lezinto eziluhlaza liye lanyuka. Emva konyaka omtsha waseTshayina, "ukunyuka kwexabiso" kunyuke kwakhona, ngokunyuka okungaphezulu kwe-50% ... ukusuka phezulu "kokunyuka kwexabiso" Uxinzelelo "lwe-tide" lugqithiselwa kumashishini asezantsi kwaye aneempembelelo ezahlukeneyo. Iingcaphuno zemathiriyeli ekrwada enje ngomqhaphu, intambo yomqhaphu, kunye ne-polyester staple fiber kushishino lwamalaphu zinyuke kakhulu. Amaxabiso angathi akwileli ethe nkqo. Yonke isangqa yorhwebo lwelaphu igcwele izaziso zokunyuswa kwexabiso. Sikholelwa ukuba uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso omqhaphu, umqhaphu, umsonto wepolyester, njl. njl amaqela. Ukunyuka kwexabiso elikhulu kwikhonkco elithile kuphela alinakusonjululwa, kwaye onke amaqela akwitheminali kufuneka enze iminyinyiva. Ngokohlalutyo lwabantu abaninzi kwiindawo eziphezulu, eziphakathi kunye nezisezantsi kwi-chain chain chain, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezinto ezahlukeneyo eziluhlaza kulo mjikelo kuye kwaphakama ngokukhawuleza kwaye kwahlala ixesha elide. Ezinye izinto eziluhlaza eziye zaphakama ngobundlobongela nokuba "zisekelwe kwixesha", zifikelela kwi-frequency ephezulu yohlengahlengiso lwamaxabiso ekuseni nasemva kwemini. . Kuqikelelwa ukuba lo mjikelo wokunyuswa kwamaxabiso ezinto ezahlukeneyo ekrwada kukunyuka kwamaxabiso okucwangcisiweyo kwikhonkco loshishino, kukhatshwa kukungonelanga konikezelo lwemathiriyeli ekrwada ukuya phezulu kunye namaxabiso aphezulu, anokuthi aqhubeke kangangexesha elithile.

Spandexamaxabiso enyuke phantse ngama-80%

Emva kweholide yoMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo ende, ixabiso le-spandex laqhubeka nokunyuka. Ngokolwazi lwamva nje lokubeka iliso kwixabiso, ixabiso lamva nje le-55,000 yuan/toni ukuya kwi-57,000 yuan/toni nge-22 kaFebruwari, ixabiso le-spandex lenyuke phantse nge-30% ngenyanga, kwaye lihambelana nexabiso eliphantsi ngo-Agasti ka-2020, ixabiso le-spandex. I-spandex inyuke Phantse ngama-80%. Ngokutsho kohlalutyo lweengcali ezifanelekileyo, ixabiso le-spandex laqala ukunyuka ngo-Agasti kulo nyaka uphelileyo, ngokukodwa ngenxa yokunyuka okukhulu kweemfuno ezisezantsi, kunye ne-inventory ephantsi yamashishini emveliso ngokubanzi, kunye nokunikezelwa kweemveliso kwaba ngokufutshane. ubonelelo. Ngaphezu koko, ixabiso le-PTMEG, impahla eluhlaza yokuvelisa i-spandex, nayo inyuke ngokukhawuleza emva koMthendeleko weNtwasahlobo. Ixabiso langoku ngetoni ligqithile kwi-yuan ye-26,000, eliye lakhuthaza ukunyuka kwexabiso le-spandex ukuya kwinqanaba elithile. ISpandex yifayibha enwebekayo kakhulu enobude obuphezulu kunye nokumelana nokudinwa. Isetyenziswa ngokubanzi kwiingubo kunye neengubo. Kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka, inani elikhulu lee-odolo zelaphu zaphesheya zatshintshelwa e-China, nto leyo eyenza ukonyuka okubalulekileyo kushishino lwasekhaya lwe-spandex. Imfuno enamandla iqhube ixabiso le-spandex ukuba linyuke kulo mjikelo.

Okwangoku, amashishini e-spandex aqalise ukwakhiwa phantsi komthwalo ophezulu, kodwa ukunikezelwa kwexesha elifutshane lemveliso ye-spandex kusenzima ukunciphisa. Ezinye Iinkampani ezihamba phambili ze-spandex zaseTshayina zonke zilungiselela ukwakha amandla okuvelisa amatsha, kodwa ezi zixhobo ezintsha zokuvelisa azikwazi ukuqaliswa kwixesha elifutshane. Ulwakhiwo luya kuqalisa ngasekupheleni kuka-2021. Iingcali zathi ukongeza kubudlelwane bokubonelela kunye nemfuno, ukunyuka kwexabiso lezinto eziluhlaza kunyuse ukunyuka kwexabiso le-spandex ukuya kumlinganiselo othile. Izinto ezithe ngqo ekrwada zespandex yiPTMEG. Ixabiso linyuke malunga ne-20% ukususela ngoFebruwari. Unikezelo lwamva nje lufikelele kwi-26,000 yeyuan/toni. Oku kusabela kwetsheyini eyenziwe kukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-BDO enyukayo. Ngomhla wama-23 kaFebruwari, umnikelo we-BDO wamva nje wawuyi-26,000 yuan. /Ton, ukwanda nge-10.64% kunosuku olungaphambili. Ukuchaphazeleka koku, amaxabiso e-PTMEG kunye ne-spandex awanakuyekwa.

Umqhaphuinyuke nge-20.27%

Ukususela nge-25 kaFebruwari, ixabiso lasekhaya le-3218B laliyi-16,558 yuan / ton, ukunyuka kwe-446 yuan kwiintsuku nje ezintlanu. Ukunyuka okukhawulezileyo kwamaxabiso kutsha nje kungenxa yophuculo lomoya wemarike enkulu. Emva kokuba ubhubhani e-United States uphantsi kolawulo, uvuselelo lwezoqoqosho kulindeleke ukuba luphinde lubuyele, ixabiso lomqhaphu wase-US linyukile, kwaye imfuno esezantsi iye yanda. Ngenxa yonikezelo oluhle kunye nengxelo yemfuno ngoFebruwari, ukuthengiswa kwe-cotton e-US yahlala yomelele kwaye imfuno yekotoni yehlabathi yaqala kwakhona, amaxabiso e-cotton ase-US aqhubeka nokunyuka. Kwelinye icala, amashishini amalaphu aqale ukusebenza ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka kunye nomnye umjikelo wokuzaliswa kwakhona emva koMnyhadala weNtwasahlobo ukhawulezise imfuno yeeodolo. Kwangaxeshanye, amaxabiso ezinto ezininzi ezilukiweyo ezilukiweyo ezifana ne-polyester staple fiber, inayiloni kunye nespandex kwimarike yasekhaya ziye zanyuka, nto leyo eye yanegalelo ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso ekotoni. Kumazwe ngamazwe, imveliso yomqhaphu yase-US ngo-2020/21 iya kuncitshiswa kakhulu. Ngokwengxelo yamva nje ye-USDA, imveliso yomqhaphu e-US kulo nyaka yehle nge-1.08 yezigidi zeetoni xa kuthelekiswa nonyaka ophelileyo ukuya kwi-3.256 yezigidi zeetoni. IForam ye-USDA ye-Outlook inyuse kakhulu ukusetyenziswa komqhaphu kwihlabathi jikelele kunye nemveliso epheleleyo ngo-2021/22, kwaye yanciphisa kakhulu isitokhwe somqhaphu wehlabathi jikelele. Phakathi kwazo, imfuno yomqhaphu kumazwe aphambili elaphu anjenge China neIndiya yaphakanyiswa kwakhona. ISebe lezoLimo lase-US liza kukhupha indawo esemthethweni yokutyala umqhaphu ngoMatshi 31. Inkqubela phambili yokutyala umqhaphu eBrazil isemva, kwaye uqikelelo lwemveliso luyathotywa. Imveliso yomqhaphu yaseIndiya kulindeleke ukuba ibe yi-28.5 yezigidi zeebhali, ukuncipha konyaka-ngonyaka we-500,000 yeebhali, imveliso yaseTshayina ye-27.5 yezigidi zeebhali, ukwehla konyaka-ngonyaka we-1.5 yezigidi zeebheli, imveliso yePakistan ye-5.8 yezigidigidi, ukwanda yeebhali ezisisi-1,3 sesigidi, neNtshona Afrika imveliso yeebhali ezizigidi ezi-5,3, ulwando lweebhali ezingama-500 000. .

Ngokubhekiselele kwixesha elizayo, ikamva lomqhaphu we-ICE linyuke laya kutsho kwelona nqanaba liphezulu ngaphezu kweminyaka emibini enesiqingatha. Izinto ezifana nokuphuculwa okuqhubekayo kwimfuno, ukhuphiswano lomhlaba lokutya okuziinkozo kunye nekotoni, kunye nethemba kwimarike yangaphandle kuqhubekile ukubangela uqikelelo. Ngomhla wamashumi amabini anesihlanu kuFebruwari, ikontraki ephambili kaZheng Mian ka-2105 yagqabhuka kwi-17,000 ye-yuan/ton. Imarike yomqhaphu yasekhaya ikwinqanaba lokubuyisela ngokuthe ngcembe, kwaye umdla osezantsi wokufumana izibonelelo awuphezulu. Esona sizathu sesokuba ixabiso lonikezelo lwezixhobo zomqhaphu linyuke kakhulu kwaye iinkampani zemisonto ngokwazo zineendawo zokugcina iiholide zangaphambi kweholide. Kulindeleke ukuba utshintshiselwano lwemalike lubuyele kancinci kancinci emva koMnyhadala weLantern. Ukusukela phakathi kuFebruwari, imisonto yomqhaphu eJiangsu, eHenan, naseShandong iye yanda kwi-500-1000 yuan/toni, kwaye amanani aphezulu anemisonto yomqhaphu ekhutshiweyo ye-50S nangaphezulu anyuke nge-1000-1300 yuan/ton. Okwangoku, iifektri zomqhaphu zasekhaya zasekhaya, Izinga lokuqalisa kwakhona kwamalaphu kunye namashishini eempahla abuyele kwi-80-90%, kwaye amashishini amancinci amancinci aqalise ukubuza nokuthenga izinto eziluhlaza ezifana nomqhaphu kunye ne-polyester staple fiber. Ngokufika kwee-odolo zorhwebo zangaphakathi nangaphandle ukusuka ngoMatshi ukuya ku-Epreli, kusekho iikhontrakthi ekusafuneka zikhawulezelwe phambi kweholide. Ixhaswe yimarike yangaphandle kunye neziseko, i-ICE kunye neZheng Mian zaphinda zavakala. Iinkampani zokuluka kunye namalaphu ezantsi kunye neefektri zempahla kulindeleke ukuba zithenge ukusuka ekupheleni kukaFebruwari ukuya ekuqaleni kukaMatshi. Iingcaphuno zomsonto womqhaphu kunye ne-polyester-cotton yarn zinyuke kakhulu. Uxinzelelo lokukhula kweendleko kufuneka lukhawuleziswe kwiitheminali ezisezantsi.

Abahlalutyi bezoshishino bakholelwa ukuba amaxabiso ekotoni asekhaya aye enyuka yonke indlela kumxholo wezinto ezininzi ezintle. Njengoko ixesha eliphakamileyo loshishino lwempahla yasekhaya lisiza, imakethi isoloko inethemba malunga nembonakalo yentengiso, kodwa kuyafuneka ukuba ulumkele ifuthe lesithsaba esitsha kunye noxinzelelo oluziswe yinzondelelo yentengiso ukuleqa ukunyuka. .

Ixabiso leipolyesterumsonto uya phezulu

Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa emva kokuvulwa kweholide, ixabiso le-polyester filaments liye lanyuka. Ngenxa yempembelelo entsha ye-coronary pneumonia epidemic, ukususela ngoFebruwari 2020, ixabiso le-polyester filament laqala ukuhla, kwaye lawela phantsi ngo-Aprili 20. elona xabiso liphantsi kwimbali ixesha elide. Ukususela kwisiqingatha sesibini se-2020, ngenxa "yokunyuka kwamaxabiso angaphandle", amaxabiso ezinto ezahlukeneyo zezinto ezibonakalayo kwimarike ye-textile sele iqalile ukunyuka. Imicu yePolyester inyuke ngaphezulu kwe-1,000 yuan/toni, imicu ye-viscose staple inyuke nge-1,000 yuan/toni, kwaye i-acrylic staple fibers inyukile. 400 yuan/toni. Ngokwezibalo ezingaphelelanga, ukusukela ngoFebruwari, ngenxa yokunyuka okuthe gqolo kwamaxabiso ezinto ezikrwada, phantse ikhulu leenkampani ngokudibeneyo zabhengeza ukonyuka kwamaxabiso, okubandakanya uninzi lwemathiriyeli yefibre yemichiza efana ne-viscose, i-polyester yarn, i-spandex, inayiloni, kunye nedayi. Ukususela ngoFebruwari 20 kulo nyaka, iintambo ze-polyester filament ziye zabuyela kufuphi nendawo ephantsi ye-2019. Ukuba i-rebound iyaqhubeka, iya kufikelela kwixabiso eliqhelekileyo lentambo ye-polyester kwiminyaka edlulileyo.

Ukujonga kwiikowuteshini zangoku ze-PTA kunye ne-MEG, izinto eziphambili ze-polyester yarns, phantsi kwemvelaphi yokuba ixabiso leoli lamazwe ngamazwe libuyela kwi-60 yeedola zase-US, kusekho indawo yeekowuteshini ezizayo ze-PTA kunye ne-MEG. Kunokugwetywa kule nto ukuba ixabiso lesilika ye-polyester isenalo ithuba lokunyuka.